The Thanksgiving holiday weekend has come and gone. It was probably a pretty good one for most NFL Survivor Pool players that were still alive in their competitions. Thirteen out of the 15 games on Thursday and Sunday saw the betting favorite win the game. Las Vegas sportsbooks, who serve mostly public bettors, who play the favorite and the “over” on the totals line, took a big hit over the long weekend. As far as the upsets, Buffalo upset Kansas City on Sunday as a big underdog, but most Survivor Pool players that have lasted this long had already used the Chiefs. Jacksonville also lost in Arizona, and that may have knocked some players out in Survivor Pools.
As I write this the Ravens and Texans are about to take the field for their Week 12 Monday Night Football matchup. If Week 12 trends hold tough then the Ravens will probably take care of business in this game.
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As I do every week, I will run down the biggest favorites on the board with my opinion on whether I think that matchup would make a good Survivor Pool pick. We are getting to the point in the season where most of the good teams have been used, so we have to think outside the box when coming up with our weekly picks.
Week 13 NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Opening Lines
Chicago -4 vs. San Francisco: It’s getting to the point in the season where you may have to use a team like the Bears here. That may not be a horrible idea. The Bears are only 3-8 but they have been more competitive on a regular basis than has San Francisco. They have had a pretty tough schedule this season and they have often played better than expected. The Bears ran into a buzzsaw last week in Philly, and I think that they will want to put forth a strong performance here after that embarrassing loss that saw them score only 3 points. It seems like the Niners are angling for a high draft pick and may have no interest in winning this game.
New England -8 at Buffalo: No need to go into depth here. Most have used the Pats already. They should take care of e Buffalo team that has looked awful lately despite their upset win over the Chiefs on Sunday.
Tennessee -7 vs. Houston: This line is off the board at most sportsbooks due to the pending Monday Night Football game involving the Texans. Tennessee might be a popular pick this week because they probably haven’t been used by many Survivor Pool competitors. Houston destroyed the Titans earlier in the season, but that was before QB Deshaun Watson was hurt for Houston. I just don’t trust the Titans, however, and they seem to play down to their level of competition a lot this season. I actually think the Bears are a better pick than Tennessee this week because the Niners are a worse team than the Texans.
Jacksonville -9 vs. Indianapolis: This is probably a pretty good option for Week 13 NFL Survivor Pool players. The Jags already blanked the Colts in Indy this season 27-0, and coming off a loss at Arizona this team won’t want to drop two straight. They are tied atop the AFC South with Tennessee, so every game is huge down the stretch run of the season. The Colts have surprised me this season with three wins and a lot of close games. But I think they are outmatched here against what should be a very motivated Jaguars team.
Kansas City -3.5 at NY Jets: It’s hard to like the Chiefs right now after another pathetic performance on Sunday in an upset loss to the Bills that put them on the brink of losing their AFC West lead that seemed insurmountable just a few weeks ago. Their offense has been nonexistent, and now there is a quarterback controversy. Just a few weeks ago Chiefs QB Alex Smith was a legit MVP candidate, and now fans and media are calling for the rookie to replace him. All that being said, the Chiefs are a much more talented team and I can’t see them losing to the Jets this week.
New Orleans -4 vs. Carolina: I think this will be a very good game, and this one is too close to call for my blood. If you still have the Saints available in your pool then you might just want to keep them in your back pocket as there are some more attractive matchups on the board for Week 13.
LA Chargers -13 vs. Cleveland: This is probably a pretty safe pick for Week 13 Survivor Pools. I still think the Browns will somehow get a win this season. The players will play hard because they don’t want to be a part of a notorious distinction like 0-16. But the Chargers are playing with a lot of confidence right now. This team maddeningly seems to play down to its competition, and their games go down to the end of the fourth quarter far too often. But I just don’t see how they lose this game, although I do think it will be closer than the spread might indicate. Also, remember it was the Chargers who gave the Browns their only win of the season in 2016.
LA Rams -7 at Arizona: The Rams just took down the Saints. This team is legit. I doubt many pool contestants still have them available, but I think they would be a very solid play for Week 13.
Oakland -7 vs. NY Giants: New York has played pretty well the last couple weeks. But I don’t think they are a match for a motivated Oakland team this week. The Raiders season looked sunk a couple weeks ago. But now they are one game behind the Chiefs with the first half of the tiebreaker in hand, so they have a lot to play for here against an outmatched opponent.
Philadelphia -5 at Seattle: The Eagles also have already been used by most. If they are still available then hold them in your arsenal when they face an easier opponent down the road.
Pittsburgh -6 at Cincinnati: The Steelers are one of those teams that look like a Super Bowl favorite one week and then a cellar-dweller the next. They almost lost to freaking Green Bay on Sunday Night Football. I don’t really trust them all that much here on the road and against a divisional opponent.